
As we have seen, al-Qaeda emerged as a result of the convergence of two developments—entropy of the local jihadist movement in the mid-1990s (not in the late 1980s, as many terrorism experts and security pundits claim) and the reverberations of the Afghan jihad. Transnational jihad spearheaded by al-Qaeda was a desperate effort to keep a ship from sinking by altering its direction, if not its final destination—in this case away from the near enemy and toward the far enemy. Bin Laden was the most powerful force behind the rise of al-Qaeda, a testament to his leadership and managerial skills. Turning the table on his ideological and theological mentors and patrons, he founded his organization on the ruins of a broken move- ment and absorbed some of its heavyweights, such as Zawahiri and Abu Hafs al-Masri, within the transnational network.
In this sense, al-Qaeda began as a mutation, the result of an implosion within a fringe social movement teetering on the brink of collapse. When bin Laden’s group burst onto the Islamic scene in the early 1990s, the jihadist movement had largely spent itself— jihadism had failed. Al-Qaeda’s diamond engagement rings decision to internationalize jihad was less an indicator of internal cohesion and strength of jihadism than of its inner turmoil.
In the 1990s some scholars conducting field research on social movements were fully aware of internal cleavages appearing among Egypt in late 1998, for example, a fierce war raged between most jihadis who, after six years of armed struggle, lost the fight against Arab and Muslim rulers and a small group of the so-called Afghan Arabs led by bin Laden on one side and Zawahiri on the other. While domestic jihadis declared a unilat- eral ceasefire—a codeword for surrender—and began to reflect on their failed and costly jihad, a determined minority chose to keep fighting. They declared war against the world’s last remaining super- power, with the hope of resurrecting militant jihadism among the rank and file and gaining credibility in the eyes of the umma.
Bin Laden’s al-Qaeda was therefore at odds with the great majority of local jihadis, who by the turn of the millennium had revisited and rethought the use of violence as a means of gaining political power. While incarcerated, top ideologues of the move- ment were putting the final touches on theological and ideological “revisions” that formalized and legitimized the end of armed jihad. Long before September 11, the jihadist civil war had started, and it would spread throughout the Muslim world and determine the future of the entire movement. It was not mere coincidence that the first shots in this civil war were fired in Egypt in the late 1990s, given that the jihadist offensive against the near enemy had started there. With eighty million people, it is the most populous Arab state and was, until recently, the Muslim world’s cultural and intellectual epicenter. Egypt was the birthplace of the modern jihadist movement, and it remains to this day the best place to look to understand its complexities and to locate its fault lines. The movement’s founding fathers were almost entirely Egyptian, as were the authors of many of its defining docu- ments. The brain of contemporary jihadism is Egyptian.
A few years before September 11, I spent some months inter- viewing the rank and file of the movement, to take stock of where it was going. A man named Kamal al-Said Habib seemed to stand out as being somehow representative of this generation. I knew him only by reputation. Many of those concerned about the future of Islamist militancy did as well. He was one of the top former leaders of al-Jihad, a paramilitary organization that had played a pivotal role in the assassination of Egyptian President Anwar Sadat in 1981 (Zawahiri was also then part of Habib’s al-Jihad). Habib was a key figure in the first generation of Muslim militants, who in the 1970s had planted the seeds of armed jihad throughout Muslim lands. If I wanted to locate the starting point of the jihadist movement and its future prospects, I needed to understand the worldviews and thoughts of Habib and his generation.
They had learned the hard way what happens when one tries to Islamize Proactol society through force. The resulting bloodshed was hor- rific; there were executions and lengthy prison sentences (Habib had spent ten years in an Egyptian prison); families were destroyed. He and other former “warriors of God” had now, I was told, reas- sessed their old ways—their misguided, offensive interpretation of jihad. They were charting a new course, one committed not to vio- lent revolution but to political persuasion and, or religious calling. They were older now. They were wiser. In late 1998 and early 1999 I spent six months with Habib and other militants pro- filing his generation and the new journey the jihadist movement was traveling. Habib acknowledged that he and his peers had made a fatal mis- take. Rather than trying to build support from the bottom up, they became fixated on capturing political power and imposing their reli- gious order from the top down. Instead of galvanizing the masses, as they had imagined, their methods—such as the random killings of tourists and ordinary citizens—repelled most Egyptians. God- fearing and peace-loving by nature, the Egyptin public withdrew any sympathy they might have shared with the revolutionaries. “We were naïve, arrogant, and immature, fired up by the spirit of youth,” Habib told me in one of our last conversations. It was early in the evening and we had gone to a political rally organized by a moderate Islamic party, the kind of gathering he would not have dreamed of Rolex replica watches attending thirty years ago. “We had big dreams but few resources, and there was a pronounced gap between the means at our disposal and our ambitions. Gradually, we lost sight of the balance between ends and means and fell into the trap of armed escalation with the government. We were no match for its powers.”
Every movement goes through phases, the jihadist movement no less than any other:We have come a long way since the 1970s, even though our journey has been painful and costly. We had to learn by trial and error. We were fortunate to be the pioneers. But we had no support network of wise men and spiritual mentors to guide us through the minefields. We were on our own , struggling against great odds and challenges. We read the inspiring works of Ibn Kathir, Ibn Taymiya, and Sayyid Qutb out of context and history. We superimposed our fears, aspirations, and immature interpretations on their complicated ideas. We horribly miscalculated.
“What if you had succeeded?” I asked him. “Were you truly pre- pared to establish a viable Islamic government?” Thank God, we did not win, because we would have constructed a state along the same authoritarian lines as the ones existing in the Muslim world. We had no vision or an intellectual framework of what a state is or how it functons and how it should be administered, except that it should express and approximate the Islamic ideal. While I cannot predict that our state would have been totalitarian, we had little awareness of the challenges that needed to be overcome.
The honesty of his reply left me dumbfounded. He was suggesting that he and his generation of domestic jihadis had been misguided; they had been more an elitist vanguard than a mass movement. This contradicted their initial claim that they had represented the umma’s popular will and that their armed jihad was legitimate steriods.
Of all the militants I have come to know over the years, Habib still stands apart. Privy to the innermost councils of the radical Islamist movement for more than a quarter of a century, he is per- haps the most open and candid of them all. His story also reveals the dramatic changes that have taken place within jihadism over the decades. Once a fierce proponent of armed resistance against pro- Western secular Muslim rulers, he is now struggling to reconcile himself to nonviolent political action. He has taken the lead in trying to chart a new course for those who are fed up with killing and getting killed but are still wedded to the dream of a Qur’anic- based state.
His jihadist journey seemed to have come to an end. Habib was not the only radical who questioned the raison d’être of his violent actions against secular-leaning Muslim regimes; many of his cohorts had reached a similar conclusion. He and others of his generation had been destroyed by their armed struggle: thousands perished and thousands more were still rotting in prison cells. “What do you tell the families of the martyrs, and how would you take care of their beloved ones?” he once asked with genuine emotion. That was the 1990s, an era promising new beginnings for Habib and his generation. There was a consensus, both inside and outside jihadist circles in the region, that jihadis had reached the end of their rope, and that their fight against secular Arab regimes had been lost. Equally important, the executive or so-called historic leader- ship of the jihadist movement (al-Gamaa al-Islamiya or the Egyp- tian Islamic Group and to a lesser extent Egyptian Islamic al-Jihad) were penning revisions along Habib’s lines, explicitly acknowl- edging failure and revisiting old sacred concepts that legitimized their armed insurgency.
From its very inception in the mid-1990s, transnational jihad has been, as I have argued, a fringe phenomenon. Bin Laden always portrayed his actions as a last resort to defend the Muslim commu- nity, filling the void left by “apostate” rulers and pliant religious scholars who collaborated with Islam’s enemies. In a message addressed to clerics in Saudi Arabia in the mid-1990s, he asked rhe- torically whether they were prepared and willing to lead: “Our Islamic umma is confronting a very grave challenge and being sub- jected to terrible aggression, and her rulers and many of her scholars have forsaken her. Who will lead and direct her, if not [me]?”A year later, in August 1996, bin Laden released a juridical edict declaring defensive war, or jihad, against the Americans for their continued presence in Islam’s birthplace, the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, and positioned himself and his cohorts as a pioneering van- guard. Just as they had smashed “the largest infidel military force in the world,” the Soviet Union, he vowed that “today, in the same peaks of Afghanistan, we work to do away with the injustice that has befallen our umma at the hands of the Judeo-Crusader alliance, especially after its occupation of Jerusalem and its appropriation of Saudi Arabia.”
Few people then and now appreciate that bin Laden’s call-to- arms against “the Judeo-Crusader alliance” was primarily directed to Saudis and Yemenis who rallied to the battle cry of jihad. The presence of a potent American military force in Saudi Arabia caused considerable upheaval and opposition inside the Kingdom and polarized the country. Bin Laden’s call to jihad resonated with key religious scholars in the Kingdom who legitimized and authorized his call. Volunteers journeyed to Afghanistan to train in bin Laden’s camps and join his vanguard. The bulk of al-Qaeda’s foot soldiers were, as we have seen, Saudi and Yemeni, indicative of the local, nationalist context of bin Laden’s struggle, as opposed to the global- ized, borderless public utterances. Stripped of its rhetoric and drama, bin Laden’s call was aimed at inciting opposition against the House of Saud and destabilizing the regime. In a sense, transna- tional jihad was bin Laden’s fig leaf, masking a desire to seize power in his native land. There was no better way to mobilize his people and Muslims in general than by summoning them to liberate Islam’s holiest places in Saudi Arabia and Palestine. He advanced his nationalist ambition by appealing to higher interests than his own— the umma’s. By appropriating the language of Islam, bin Laden hoped to attain greater legitimacy for his nationalist agenda.

Like Zawahiri, bin Laden was religiously hyper-nationalist, even though his jihad call is rhetorically transnational and does not rec- ognize territorially based nationalist units. For bin Laden, the only way to level the playing field with the Saudi monarchy was to expel American troops from the Kingdom as the mujahideen expelled the Soviets from Afghanistan. Once Soviet troops retreated from Afghanistan in 1989, the client government they left behind fell like rotten fruit.
Nonetheless, after September 11 most observers (“security- based analysts,” as they are sometimes called) have generally viewed al-Qaeda through a cultural and religious prism, and missed the util- itarian and political-strategic drivers. They take bin Laden’s rhetoric at face value, while neglecting its historical-political context. Seen as the quintessential moment that changed the world, the attacks were invested with exaggerated and unnecessary cultural and religious meanings, conflating terrorism, a universal tactic, with “Islamic ter- rorism,” an intrinsically cultural or expressive element of the con- flict. The tendency to “ideologize” the use of terrorism—that is, to create a link between the raison d’être of radical Islamist groups and the tactics they employ—has led to ignorance of specific contexts and motives, and distortion and misunderstandings as well. A well- known Israeli observer asserted: “Motives are entirely irrelevant to the concept of political terrorism. Most analysts fail to recognize this and, hence, tend to discuss certain motives as logical or necessary aspects of terrorism. But they are not. At best, they are empirical regularities associated with terrorism. More often they simply confuse analysis.”
If contexts for and motives behind politically based violence “confuse analysis,” then there is no reason to understand the socio- political and strategic logic behind the actions of al-Qaeda and other Islamist groups; if anything, it would be a waste of time. Instead of considering the use of terrorism by militant Islamists as a common tool in asymmetric warfare, these observers portray them as war- riors in a cultural war against the West and the liberal rationalist nar- rative of history. Everything can be explained as part of timeless and irrational hatred of the West. For example, Israeli diplomat-analyst Dan Gold has traced the historical roots of the violent tactics used by domestic and transnational jihadis to “the ideological motivation to slaughter thousands of innocent people.” Gold and like-minded pundits do not seem concerned that until 1990 bin Laden was part of the US-led alliance pitted against “god- less communism.